He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. Finally, they analyze why Bidens approval rating has increased by nearly five points since late July. robert kraft granddaughter. The crew discusses the political fallout from the Supreme Courts decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. And what does Floridas new voting law tell us about the GOPs efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the partys larger motivations? Later, Monica Potts joins to discuss why voters sometimes contradict their partisan beliefs on ballot measures. The crew discusses what legal debates are currently playing out, what the decision could mean for the future of Roe v. Wade, and where Americans stand on abortion restrictions in general. As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss why live caller surveys are no longer the gold standard in polling and what it means for the future of the industry. The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what's behind the recent movement in the forecast and answer questions from listeners. The crew discusses the politically thorny issue of mental acuity in an increasingly elderly U.S. government, and what Americans think about age limits for public office. 11:03 AM. Then the team debates if a surge of women registering to vote in June could be linked to the Supreme Courts recent abortion decision. And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. The crew previews what to expect on Election Day and listens to some of the most common types of campaign ads aired this cycle. On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. They also check in on the upcoming Virginia governors race and discuss a FiveThirtyEight report about how Congress may have inadvertently legalized THC -- the main psychoactive compound in marijuana. The team also discusses public opinion on gun laws after recent mass shootings in Texas, New York and California. The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. They also discuss the conditions that would have to be present in order for a third party to actually be viable in the American political system. The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Democrats Are Open To Ditching Biden In 2024. They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. Why Valentina Shevchenko Is A Huge Favorite And Jon Jones Isn't At UFC 285,A pair of championships are on the line at UFC 285 in Las Vegas Saturday night, and both title bouts offer a study in contrasts. Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". FiveThirtyEight contributor Laura Bronner shares what the data can tell us about the ideological direction of the court with the addition of Justice Amy Coney Barrett. They also consider the causes of hyperinflation, as Democrats and Republicans blame different culprits for the highest rate of inflation in 40 years. It was the biggest shift of any demographic group between the two presidential elections and led to some speculation about a possible realignment. They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. Texas has been in a dire situation this week. In this show, Jody Avirgan, Nicole Hemmer and Kellie Carter Jackson (and guests) take one moment, big or small, from that day in U.S. political history and explore how it might inform our present -- all in about fifteen minutes. He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. Their recent data-driven post-mortem of the Latino vote in 2020 looks at which voters were likeliest to favor Trump and offers some hypotheses as to why. They also have a good or bad use of polling on the topic of death and consider whether a recent Facebook hearing will lead to new regulations for the monolithic technology company. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. The crew discusses how Russias invasion of Ukraine is affecting U.S. politics and the RAND Corportation's Samuel Charap joins to explain the root of Russia's aggression. Will Democrats Rally Behind President Biden In 2024? fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt. The first half of this episode originally aired on November 5, 2018, and was produced by Dan Pashman, Anne Saini, and Aviva DeKornfeld, with editing by Gianna Palmer and mixing by Dan Dzula. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. Economics Professor at George Washington University, Tara Sinclair, joins to explain what is going on with the economy and the potential consequences of a spike in prices. The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. Happy holidays! The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. And if partisan loyalists were to make their way onto the Fed board, that degree of power could be abused. Nate Silver and Galen Druke open the mailbag and answer listener questions, including how much it would cost to "fix polling" and why Vice President Harris is polling less favorably than President Biden. FiveThirtyEight - YouTube Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sports, science and life. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. But that doesnt stop us from talking about what we do know: that Republicans didnt make major gains in the Senate, and that the polls were pretty good this cycle. They also discuss ranked choice voting and the reasons for delays in New York City's final vote count in the mayoral election. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Election Day in Georgia is just a week away, so the crew shook off their turkey hangover to talk about what to expect in Georgias second Senate runoff in two years. 01:06 PM. is it illegal to wear military uniform in australia. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. The crew debates which states should vote first in the presidential primaries if the Iowa caucuses were to go away. police- settlements. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. A message from Martine. Galen speaks with him. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. In Matthew Continetti's new book, The Right: The Hundred Year War For American Conservatism, he argues that in order to understand where the right is heading, you have to understand where it's been. If Europe, and of the shop leave us a rating or review in the Apple podcast store when you rating. Nate Silver's. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also look back at 2021, try to pinpoint the most consequential political events of the year and discuss how their understanding of American politics was challenged. This is why we are coming every fortnight on your podcast platforms to help you make sense of the new and now. Tensions between the U.S. and China have grown in recent years and, in this installment, the crew looks at changing public opinion of China and how it could shape American politics. In her new book How Civil Wars Start And How To Stop Them, Barbara F Walter writes we are now closer to civil war than any of us would like to believe. Our podcast helps listeners understand what they can be certain about, and what is still unknown. The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. Legal scholar Kate Shaw also digs into some of the specifics of the terms major cases, particularly on election law. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes. Listen at itun.es/i67M5bV. The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist FiveThirtyEight Politics https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/ Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. The results are mixed in terms of which factions of both parties performed well and the marquee Republican Senate primary race in Pennsylvania is still close to call and could remain that way for days. Georgians handed control of the Senate to Democrats in a pair of dramatic runoffs and voted for a Democrat for president for the first time in 28 years. The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. In his new book "Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America," Washington Post national columnist Philip Bump argues that many of the fissures that the country is facing today politically, economically, culturally have to do with the Baby Boomers getting old. FiveThirtyEight Politics 3 days ago Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided. They also discuss how the country has changed demographically and geographically over the past decade, based on the newly released 2020 census data. Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump. The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. Galen Druke and Perry Bacon Jr. speak with political scientist and pastor, Ryan Burge, about how declining American religiosity is shaping our society and politics. Commentators and politicos have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in Tuesday's election and what it portends for the 2022 midterms. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. This week Nikki Haley became the first major candidate to challenge former President Donald Trump in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. The crew discusses how much the two parties are spending on campaign ads and if it could factor into the forecasts shift. The crew reacts to Senator Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff. Galen Druke speaks with George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair about the economics behind Americans pessimistic assessment of the economy. Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. Republican Mayra Flores won the special election in Texass 34th congressional district on Tuesday, avoiding a runoff and flipping the longtime Democratic seat in Texass Rio Grande Valley. The conventional wisdom is that if former President Trump wants the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, it's his. The crew looks at what Americans think about aid to Ukraine one year on, how the public may respond to Sen. John Fetterman's treatment for clinical depression and former President Trump's legal liability in a Fulton County investigation. This is the first episode. New rules for the baseball season, Richard Belzer dies and more prison for Harvey Weinstein and R. Kelly | Bonus sports & entertainment episode. The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. As we discussed earlier this week, House Democrats plan on passing a one point nine trillion dollar American rescue plan by the end of the week. Although much of our elections-related attention is already trained on 2024, there are consequential elections happening this very calendar year. The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. Galen Druke discusses the context of these laws with Theodore Johnson, the Director of the Fellows Program at the Brennan Center for Justice. They also assess whether narratives from the 2021 gubernatorial election in Virginia hold up in light of new data, and debate the hottest legislative topic in Washington: permanent Daylight Saving Time. apache saddles amarillo texas shockwave treatment for gallstones in the philippines price They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. This is the second episode. They also check in on where the redistricting process stands around the country and ask what the two parties should be thankful for this Thanksgiving. The crew runs down a list of theories in a game of Buy, Sell, or Hold to discuss what evidence, if any, supports some of these arguments. Political scientists Yanna Krupnikov and John Barry Ryan suggest that focusing only on the Left/Right divide in American politics is reductive. Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. Nathaniel Rakich discusses why it's difficult to draw a broader conclusion about the political environment based on the result. They consider how much preelection polling can tell us about the state of the country and what other sources we might rely on. From 2008 to 2019, the percentage of people who said they got their news from local papers fell by more than half. Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics. The crew discusses what these results mean for the midterms this fall and where other indicators of the political environment are pointing.